DocumentCode
2824952
Title
The Application of Markov Chain into the Forecast for Population Age Structure in Shanghai
Author
Hongyan Li ; Zhong Wu
Author_Institution
Sch. of Manage. Studies, Shanghai Univ. of Eng. Sci., Shanghai, China
fYear
2009
fDate
11-13 Dec. 2009
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
3
Abstract
By using the data of Shanghai´s population age structure in 2004 2007, based on the forecasting model of Markov chain, the paper calculated the transition probability of the changes for population age structure in Shanghai. In the last, using the transition probability matrix predicted population age structure of Shanghai in the future. The conclusion is that: Aging trend is growing now and the next 10 years in Shanghai.
Keywords
Markov processes; demography; Markov chain application; population age structure forecast; transition probability matrix; Aging; Cities and towns; Data engineering; Decision making; Economic forecasting; Engineering management; Inventory management; Predictive models; Senior citizens; Technological innovation;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Computational Intelligence and Software Engineering, 2009. CiSE 2009. International Conference on
Conference_Location
Wuhan
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-4507-3
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-4507-3
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CISE.2009.5363802
Filename
5363802
Link To Document