Fuzzy approach to economic analysis of dispatcher driven discrete transport systems

The economic analysis of dispatcher driven transport system which takes into account functional and reliability parameters is quite serious problem in real world. Our previous works showed that the calculation of cost function requires to set up a large number of economic parameters. It is rather hard to state the exact value of many of them. Especially hard is now to predict a price of gasoline. Therefore, we propose to use a fuzzy representation of gasoline costs as well as fuzzy representation of some reliability parameters. The Monte Carlo approach is used for system functional simulation. No restriction on the system structure and on a kind of distribution is the main advantage of the method. The paper presents some exemplar system modeling. The presented economic analysis of dispatcher driven transport system is practically essential for defining an organization of vehicle maintenance and transport system logistics