Title :
Evolutionary artificial neural network optimisation in financial engineering
Author_Institution :
Ecole Superieure de Commerce de Dijon, France
Abstract :
Analytical examination of loss functions´ families demonstrates that investors´ utility maximisation is determined by their risk attitude. In computational settings, stock traders´ fitness is assessed in response to a slow-step increase in the value of the risk aversion coefficient. The experiment rejects the claims that the accuracy of the forecast does not depend upon which error-criteria are used and none of them is related to the profitability of the forecast. Profitability of networks trained with L6 loss function appeared to be statistically significant and stable, although links between loss functions and accuracy of forecasts were less conclusive.
Keywords :
decision making; decision theory; economic forecasting; genetic algorithms; investment; learning (artificial intelligence); minimisation; multi-agent systems; profitability; risk analysis; stock markets; evolutionary artificial neural network optimisation; financial engineering; investor utility maximisation; loss function families; profitability; risk aversion coefficient; stock trader fitness; Artificial neural networks; Business; Economic forecasting; Environmental economics; Finance; Intelligent networks; Profitability; Risk analysis; Signal generators; Supervised learning;
Conference_Titel :
Hybrid Intelligent Systems, 2004. HIS '04. Fourth International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-2291-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICHIS.2004.42