DocumentCode :
2851864
Title :
Ev maket expansion based on BASS model
Author :
Zhenlin Wei ; Yue Wu ; Ailing Huang
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Traffic & Transp., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
fYear :
2009
fDate :
17-17 Oct. 2009
Firstpage :
243
Lastpage :
247
Abstract :
The popularization of electric vehicle (EV), which will be significant in reducing vehicle emission and easing the excessive consumption of oil resources on traffic and transport, is a key solution for the current transport energy and environmental problems. In this paper, the target market of EV is defined based on the analysis of technical and economic characteristics of EV. Through a comparative analysis on the traditional vehicles and EV, a forecast model based on BASS is developed to study the market expansion of EV in different fields. Finally, this model is adopted to investigate the expansion of EV in Shanghai.
Keywords :
electric vehicles; forecasting theory; market research; EV maket expansion; bass model; comparative analysis; electric vehicle; environmental problem; forecast model; oil resources consumption; transport energy problem; vehicle emission reduction; Bass model; electric vehicle; market expansion; substitute rate;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
iet
Conference_Titel :
Advanced Forum on Transportation of China (AFTC 2009), 5th
Conference_Location :
Beijing
ISSN :
0537-9989
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1049/cp.2009.1621
Filename :
5499208
Link To Document :
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