Title :
Construction of Local Government Debt Risk Early Warning System
Author :
Zhao, Jun ; Wang, XiXia
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Ningxia Univ., Yinchuan, China
Abstract :
At present, the risk of local government debt has become a serious threat to China´s economic security and social stability. Based on the characteristics of the local government´s own, selected the targeted indicators of debt risk assessment and used fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to operate these indicators. Finally we have built the early warning system of the local government debt risk. It implements qualitative description and quantitative analysis of the local government debt operational status, and it provides decision support for the risk management of the local government debt.
Keywords :
decision support systems; financial data processing; fuzzy set theory; public administration; public finance; risk management; China economic security; decision support; early warning system; fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method; local government debt risk; risk management; social stability; Alarm systems; Economics; Local government; Risk management; Stability analysis; Local government debt; debt risk; early warning indicators; early warning system;
Conference_Titel :
Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering (BIFE), 2010 Third International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hong Kong
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7575-9
DOI :
10.1109/BIFE.2010.95