Title :
Measuring technological forecasting
Author :
Öztemel, Ercan ; Ayhan, M. Batuhan
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. Eng., Marmara Univ., Istanbul, Turkey
Abstract :
The importance of technological forecasting is increasing due to immense effect of technology on the organizations. Accurate forecast will obviously yield more benefit in shorter time scales. Although there are so many studies to forecast the single technological aspect of certain products, such as Flight Speed or Bomber Carriage of air fighters, a general model to forecast overall technological changes is yet to be developed. In this paper, a methodology of measuring the capability of forecasting the technological changes with respect to Throughput Time, Quantity per Day, Rework Rate, and New Investment Revenue is presented.
Keywords :
innovation management; technological forecasting; forecasting capability; investment revenue; manufacturing systems; rework rate; technological changes; technological forecasting; technological innovations; throughput time; Aircraft manufacture; Economic forecasting; Extrapolation; Investments; Monitoring; Predictive models; Propulsion; Space technology; Technological innovation; Technology forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Industrial Informatics, 2009. INDIN 2009. 7th IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Cardiff, Wales
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3759-7
Electronic_ISBN :
1935-4576
DOI :
10.1109/INDIN.2009.5195777