DocumentCode :
2855130
Title :
Price volatility model in terms of trader´s conditional expected return
Author :
Zhang, Shu Lin ; Wang, Shu Ping ; Ding, Juan Juan
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Econ. & Bus. Adm., North China Univ. of Technol., Beijing, China
fYear :
2010
fDate :
18-20 June 2010
Firstpage :
99
Lastpage :
103
Abstract :
We proposed an expectation model to explain the observed price movements with active trader´s conditional expected return and trading strategies. Existing volatility models can be considered as a kind of price expectation with corresponding expectation model and disturbances distribution. These results questioned those intentions to reproduce stylized facts with artificial series, and call for a closer look at the trading rule and trader´s price expectation implied in both agent-based models and econometric researches.
Keywords :
commerce; econometrics; pricing; statistical distributions; agent-based models; disturbances distribution; econometrics; expectation model; price expectation; price volatility model; trader conditional expected return; trading strategy; Aggregates; Autocorrelation; Availability; Data analysis; Econometrics; Economic forecasting; Educational institutions; Fluctuations; Frequency; Tail; expectation model; forecasting; price formation; time varying model; trading strategies;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Financial Theory and Engineering (ICFTE), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Dubai
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7757-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7759-3
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICFTE.2010.5499416
Filename :
5499416
Link To Document :
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