DocumentCode :
2872447
Title :
Chaos Theory as a Model for Interpreting Weblog Traffic
Author :
Guo, Xitong ; Vogel, Doug ; Zhou, Zhongyun ; Zhang, Xi ; Chen, Huaping
Author_Institution :
USTC-CityU Joint Res. Center, Suzhou
fYear :
2008
fDate :
7-10 Jan. 2008
Firstpage :
289
Lastpage :
289
Abstract :
Weblogs are becoming increasingly popular and bloggers desire traffic. This study seeks to give an overall view of Weblog systems including factors that affect Weblog traffic. Key concepts of chaos theory are used to construct an interpretive framework to illustrate Weblog traffic dynamics where interactions between a number of factors and Weblog traffic are such that clear causal relationships cannot be established. Weblog systems tend to be non-linear, dynamic and deterministic. The sensitivity of Weblog traffic to initial conditions is highlighted, which makes long term prediction impossible. Also, chaos theory suggests that Weblog traffic exhibits "self-similar" dynamics. Implications are given for practitioners. Research opportunities are presented.
Keywords :
Internet; Web sites; chaotic communication; telecommunication traffic; Weblog traffic dynamics; chaos theory; deterministic systems; dynamic systems; nonlinear systems; self-similar dynamics; Advertising; Aggregates; Blogs; Chaos; Economic forecasting; Home appliances; Management information systems; Technology management; Traffic control; Web search;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, Proceedings of the 41st Annual
Conference_Location :
Waikoloa, HI
ISSN :
1530-1605
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/HICSS.2008.90
Filename :
4438994
Link To Document :
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