Title :
A method of selecting similar learning data in the prediction of time series using neural networks
Author :
Shimodaira, Hisashi
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Res. & Dev., Nihon MECCS Co. Ltd., Tokyo, Japan
Abstract :
This paper explores a method of improving the predictive performance by the multi-layer feedforward neural network in time series predicting. For the similar data selective learning method we propose a method of weighting the distance by a power function of correlation coefficients for the time series (CSDS method). The results of numerical experiments show that with the case of a time series whose nature is rather choppy or chaotic, using the CSDS method appropriately is considerably effective to improve the predictive performance and its performance is considerably better than that by the previously proposed other methods
Keywords :
feedforward neural nets; learning (artificial intelligence); time series; correlation coefficients; data selective learning method; multi-layer feedforward neural network; predictive performance; similar learning data; time series prediction; Accuracy; Chaos; Databases; Feedforward neural networks; Intelligent networks; Learning systems; Multi-layer neural network; Neural networks; Predictive models; Research and development;
Conference_Titel :
Tools with Artificial Intelligence, 1995. Proceedings., Seventh International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Herndon, VA
Print_ISBN :
0-8186-7312-5
DOI :
10.1109/TAI.1995.479411