Title :
Recognizing the Pattern of Systematic Risk Based on Financial Ratios and Rough Set-Neural Network System
Author :
Zhou, Jian-guo ; Wu, Zhao-ming ; Xin, Xiu
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
Abstract :
Systematic risk that is presented by beta is the avoidless risk on the stock market. Beta is calculated by linear analysis between the daily prices of stocks and the security index of stock market. However, many studies have showed there are stronger relationships between beta and financial ratios. In this paper, a hybrid intelligent system is applied to recognize the clusters of beta with financial ratios, combining rough set approach and BP neural network. We can get reduced information table with no information loss by rough set approach. And then, this reduced information is used to develop classification rules and train network to infer appropriate parameters. The rationale of our hybrid system is using rules developed by rough sets for an object that matches any of the rules and BP neural network for one that dose not match any of them. The effectiveness of our methodology was verified by experiments comparing BP neural networks with our approach
Keywords :
backpropagation; knowledge based systems; neural nets; pattern classification; pattern clustering; risk analysis; rough set theory; stock markets; backpropagation neural network system; beta clusters; classification rules; financial ratios; hybrid intelligent system; information table; rough set approach; security index; stock market; systematic risk pattern recognition; Cybernetics; Educational institutions; Electronic mail; Hybrid intelligent systems; Information security; Information systems; Machine learning; Neural networks; Pattern recognition; Pricing; Rough sets; Stock markets; BP neural-network; Financial ratios; Rough set; Systematic risk;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2006 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Dalian, China
Print_ISBN :
1-4244-0061-9
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2006.258770