Title :
A multi-series grey forecasting model based on neural network improved by genetic algorithm
Author :
Liu Jian-Yong ; Li Ling ; Zhang Yong-Li ; Li Yan
Author_Institution :
PLA Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Nanjing
Abstract :
Traditional Grey GM(1,1) Model had its defect when it was applied to forecast relative data series. The relationship between different data series can´t be reflected properly. In order to solve the problem, artificial neural network (ANN) is combined to forecast multi-series data. Then the network optimization is aided by improved genetic algorithm (GA). So the network weights and thresholds were self-adaptively evolved. Then a hybrid grey model combined with ANN and GA was put forward. Based on Matlab program, the simulation example shows that the hybrid algorithm improves the forecasting precision. It can provide effective help for forecasting work.
Keywords :
backpropagation; forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; grey systems; neural nets; series (mathematics); Matlab program; backpropagation neural network; genetic algorithm; multiseries data grey forecasting model; network optimization; Artificial neural networks; Convergence; Data handling; Genetic algorithms; Intelligent networks; Intelligent systems; Mathematical model; Neural networks; Predictive models; Programmable logic arrays;
Conference_Titel :
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2007. GSIS 2007. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1294-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1294-5
DOI :
10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443361