Title :
Real Option Model Application and Sensitivity Analysis in Mineral Resources Investment Project
Author :
Tan, Wenbo ; Liu, Haibin ; Zhang, Wei
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Manage., China Univ. of Min. & Technol., Beijing, China
Abstract :
This paper describes the emergence of real option and its development process. Real option introduces uncertainties into the establishment of the evaluation model in line with the actual investment situations, improving the flexibility of project investment decision-making as well, which provides a broad space in the field of the project investment analysis and evaluation. Mineral resources investment project is applied and the application of real option model is intensively discussed. It is believed that the real option model can better simulate the investment environment uncertainty in mineral resources exploration and development, and the premium due to the flexible investment process is quantized so as to maximum success rate of the decision-making and management. A case study is provided to prove its effectiveness and sensitivity analysis is discussed to guide the investment project.
Keywords :
decision making; investment; natural resources; sensitivity analysis; actual investment situations; decision making management; effectiveness sensitivity analysis; guide investment project; investment environment uncertainty; maximum success rate; mineral resources investment project; project investment decision; real option emergence; real option model application; sensitivity analysis; Cost accounting; Decision making; Innovation management; Investments; Mineral resources; Portfolios; Project management; Resource management; Sensitivity analysis; Uncertainty; NPV; binomial tree model; mineral resources investment project; real option; sensitivity analysis;
Conference_Titel :
Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering, 2009 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Xi´an
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3876-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICIII.2009.509