DocumentCode :
2945964
Title :
The Simulation Research of Non-parametric Regression for Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting
Author :
Zhang Xiao-li ; Lu Hua-pu
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Transp. Eng., Tsinghua Univ., Beijing, China
Volume :
3
fYear :
2009
fDate :
11-12 April 2009
Firstpage :
626
Lastpage :
629
Abstract :
Short-term traffic flow forecasting play an important pole in urban traffic control and induction system. Non-parametric regression (NPR) is one perfect method for short-term traffic flow forecasting based on pattern recognition. At present time, the application research of NPR for short-term traffic flow forecasting is confined in small-scale fields and has less study of forecasting mechanism. This paper is trying to use the simulation measure to research the applicability of NPR in short-term traffic flow forecasting and study the forecasting principles by adjusting different system parameters. A typical road network is constructed as the study object in this paper. The forecasting problems of NPR are studied based on it. The data pre-processing of principal component analysis and cluster analysis are used for better forecasting results. Other network structures have only different simulation parameters with the presented network.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; nonparametric statistics; pattern clustering; principal component analysis; regression analysis; road traffic; cluster analysis; induction system; nonparametric regression; pattern recognition; principal component analysis; road network; short-term traffic flow forecasting; urban traffic control; Absorption; Databases; Fluid flow measurement; Niobium; Predictive models; Roads; Technology forecasting; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control; Turning; Non-parametric regressiont; Simulation; forecasting;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Measuring Technology and Mechatronics Automation, 2009. ICMTMA '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Zhangjiajie, Hunan
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3583-8
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMTMA.2009.322
Filename :
5203282
Link To Document :
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