• DocumentCode
    2951200
  • Title

    Chaotic Time Series Prediction with Feature Selection Evolution

  • Author

    Landassuri-Moreno, V. ; Marcial-Romero, J. Raymundo ; Montes-Venegas, A. ; Ramos, Marco A.

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Comput. Sci., Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    15-18 Nov. 2011
  • Firstpage
    71
  • Lastpage
    76
  • Abstract
    Chaotic time series have been successfully predicted with the EPNet algorithm through the evolution of artificial neural networks. However, the input feature selection problem has either not been fully explored before or has not been compared against other algorithms in the literature. This paper presents four algorithms derived from the classical EPNet algorithm to evolve the input feature selection in three different chaotic series: Logistic, Lorenz and Mackey-Glass. Additionally, some flaws in the prediction field that may be considered in future works are discussed. A comparison against previous work demonstrates that in most cases the specialization of the EPNet algorithm allows better solutions with a smaller number of generations.
  • Keywords
    chaos; forecasting theory; neural nets; time series; Logistic series; Lorenz series; Mackey-Glass series; artificial neural networks; chaotic series; chaotic time series prediction; classical EPNet algorithm; feature selection evolution; input feature selection problem; prediction field; Delay; Logistics; Measurement uncertainty; Prediction algorithms; Prediction methods; Time series analysis; Training; EANNs; evolutionary programming; feature selection; forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Electronics, Robotics and Automotive Mechanics Conference (CERMA), 2011 IEEE
  • Conference_Location
    Cuernavaca, Morelos
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4577-1879-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/CERMA.2011.19
  • Filename
    6125801