• DocumentCode
    2955057
  • Title

    The Optimization of Share Price Prediction Model Based on Support Vector Machine

  • Author

    Xie Guo-qiang

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Math. & Comput., Gannan Normal Univ., Ganzhou, China
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    30-31 July 2011
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    4
  • Abstract
    In recent years, the prediction for variation trend of share price is a hot issue which has drawn people´ attention. For share price is a group of non-linear time series data, the prediction accuracy of traditional prediction method is not high enough. The paper tries to bring the technology of support vector machine to the prediction model of share price to forecast the closing price on the third day. Besides, it optimizes the selection for each kind of parameter in the model by particle swarm optimization (PSO). The experiment result shows that the model of share price based on support vector machine which is optimized by particle swarm can predict the closing price of the stock on the third day precisely. This method has high actual value.
  • Keywords
    particle swarm optimisation; pricing; support vector machines; time series; SVM; closing price forecast; nonlinear time series data; particle swarm optimization; prediction accuracy; share price prediction model; support vector machine; Kernel; Optimization; Predictive models; Share prices; Stock markets; Support vector machines; Training;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Control, Automation and Systems Engineering (CASE), 2011 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Singapore
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4577-0859-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICCASE.2011.5997714
  • Filename
    5997714