Title :
A system dynamics model for the technological forecasting of automotive in-car navigation market
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Ind. Eng., Univ. of Ulsan, Ulsan
Abstract :
This paper suggests a system dynamics model for the technological forecasting of automotive in-car navigation market. A holistic and dynamic method based upon system dynamics simulation modeling, is described for the forecasting of in-car navigation demand in the automobile industry, which considers the impact of potential adopters, vehicle demand, navigation price, speed camera, and speed fine. The result suggests that the demand of navigation devices increases in proportion to the number of fixed speed cameras.
Keywords :
automobile industry; automotive electronics; consumer electronics; demand forecasting; marketing; navigation; technological forecasting; automobile industry; automotive in-car navigation market; fixed speed cameras; in-car navigation demand; navigation devices; navigation price; potential adopters; speed fine; system dynamics model; system dynamics simulation modeling; technological forecasting; vehicle demand; Automobiles; Automotive engineering; Cameras; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Navigation; Predictive models; Technology forecasting; Vehicle dynamics; Vehicles; forecasting; in-car navigation demand; speed camera; system dynamics model;
Conference_Titel :
Strategic Technology, 2007. IFOST 2007. International Forum on
Conference_Location :
Ulaanbaatar
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3589-0
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1831-2
DOI :
10.1109/IFOST.2007.4798643
