DocumentCode :
2959944
Title :
Stock Forecast Method Based on Wavelet Modulus Maxima and Kalman Filter
Author :
Fang, Zhijun ; Luo, Guihua ; Fei, Fengchang ; Li, Shuai
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Inf. Technol., Jiangxi Univ. of Finance & Econ., Nanchang, China
fYear :
2010
fDate :
23-24 Oct. 2010
Firstpage :
50
Lastpage :
53
Abstract :
Stock market has gradually become an absolutely necessary part of financial market in China. The trend analysis and forecasting of stock prices become key topics in investment and security, which have great theoretical significance and application value. In this paper, the wavelet modulus maxima method is proposed for the abnormal detection of the stock market. The abnormal points detected by wavelet modulus maxima are replaced by the new interpolation points which will be used as an important index of Kalman algorithm to predict stock. The experimental results show that the proposed method can predict the stock data with higher credibility than Kalman algorithm. Therefore, the proposed method can reduce the investment risk and plays an important role in the economic development and financial building.
Keywords :
Kalman filters; forecasting theory; prediction theory; pricing; stock control; stock markets; China; Kalman filter; economic development; financial building; financial market; investment risk; stock forecast method; stock market; stock prices; wavelet modulus maxima method; Fluctuations; Industries; Kalman filters; Maximum likelihood detection; Nonlinear filters; Stock markets; Wavelet transforms; Kalman; Modulus Maxima; Stock; Wavelet;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Management of e-Commerce and e-Government (ICMeCG), 2010 Fourth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Chengdu
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8507-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMeCG.2010.19
Filename :
5628630
Link To Document :
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