Title :
Security price dynamics and simulation in financial engineering
Author_Institution :
Terry Coll. of Bus., Georgia Univ., Athens, GA, USA
Abstract :
Applications in financial engineering have relied heavily on Brownian motion as a workhorse model for pricing derivative securities and implementing risk management programs. When more than one state variable is required, the standard approach is to use a multivariate Brownian motion with constant correlations. This article briefly summarizes several important reasons why this approach is not adequate (and in some cases, can lead to disaster). Examples include fat tails, volatility clustering, large discrete jumps, parameter instability, and asymmetric correlations. Including such features makes analytic modelling less tractable, and potentially makes simulation a more attractive alternative.
Keywords :
Brownian motion; costing; digital simulation; financial data processing; risk management; securities trading; Brownian motion; analytic modelling; asymmetric correlations; constant correlations; derivative securities pricing; fat tails; financial engineering; large discrete jumps; parameter instability; risk management programs; security price dynamics; simulation; volatility clustering; Aggregates; Brownian motion; Diffusion processes; Economic indicators; Motion measurement; Position measurement; Reactive power; Risk management; Security; Tail;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2002. Proceedings of the Winter
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7614-5
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2002.1166434