Title :
Simulation based project selection decision analysis tool
Author :
Powers, Gary ; Ruwanpura, Janaka Y. ; Dolhan, Gany ; Chu, Martin
Author_Institution :
Nova Chemicals Ltd., Red Deer, Alta., Canada
Abstract :
Project selection is the process of evaluating individual projects, to choose the right project based on an analysis so that the objectives of the company will be achieved. It involves a thorough analysis including the most important financial aspect to determine the most optimum project among all the alternatives. Some projects have high uncertainty, and therefore simulation based project selection decision analysis could evaluate the projects with a greater confidence. The model presented in the paper shows a special purpose simulation tool for project selection based on influences that govern the project selection process. A graphical and hierarchical approach is adopted for the non-simulation experts to use the model to derive the expected results for project selection process and decision making under uncertain conditions.
Keywords :
decision support systems; digital simulation; project management; decision making; financial aspect; project selection process; simulation based project selection decision analysis tool; special purpose simulation tool; uncertain conditions; Analytical models; Civil engineering; Drives; Personnel; Power generation economics; Probability distribution; Production; Project management; Solid modeling; Uncertainty;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2002. Proceedings of the Winter
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7614-5
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2002.1166465