DocumentCode
2990861
Title
Nonlinear dynamic model of credit risk contagion in CRT market
Author
Chen Ting-qiang ; Yin Qun-yao ; He Jian-min
fYear
2012
fDate
20-22 Sept. 2012
Firstpage
250
Lastpage
256
Abstract
In this article, we build a nonlinear dynamics model of credit risk contagion in CRT market based on the connections of the complex relationship network between participants in CRT market only include Newman-Watts length scale connection and long distance connection, and study its dynamic behaviors. We find that, firstly, the increase of the effective rate of credit risk contagion can make the status curve of credit risk contagion happen some significant changes, further engender the Hopf bifurcation and chaos phenomenon in the process of credit risk contagion through experimental simulation. Secondly, the increase of the nonlinear resistance coefficient make Hopf bifurcation and chaos phenomena happen in advance. Thirdly, there are series of periodic windows in the chaos interval inside, in which present three intertwined state about Hopf bifurcation, pour bifurcation and chaos.
Keywords
bifurcation; chaos; credit transactions; marketing; nonlinear dynamical systems; risk management; CRT market; Hopf bifurcation; Newman-Watts length scale connection; chaos interval; chaos phenomenon; complex relationship network; credit risk contagion process; credit risk transfer; effective credit risk contagion rate; experimental simulation; long distance connection; nonlinear dynamic model; nonlinear resistance coefficient; periodic windows; pour bifurcation; status curve; Bifurcation; Chaos; Mathematical model; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Oscillators; Resistance; Stability analysis; CRT market; Chaos; Hopf bifurcation; credit risk contagion; experimental simulation; nonlinear dynamics;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Management Science and Engineering (ICMSE), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Dallas, TX
ISSN
2155-1847
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-3015-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICMSE.2012.6414191
Filename
6414191
Link To Document