Title :
Wind Prediction Based on Improved BP Artificial Neural Network in Wind Farm
Author :
Huang, Keyuan ; Dai, Lang ; Huang, Shoudao
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Electr. & Inf. Eng., Hunan Univ., Changsha, China
Abstract :
Wind power prediction is important to the operation of power system with comparatively large mount of wind power. It can relieve or avoid the disadvantageous impact of wind farm on power systems. Because the traditional neural network may fall into local convergence, so it will be effective to improve the training algorithm to improve its convergence and accuracy of prediction. In this paper, a model for wind speed prediction was constructed based on adaptive learning rate of BP neural network, the selected historical wind speed data of a certain time were use as model inputs, so that we can predict the wind speed of the same time in the future and its accuracy analysis. Research shows that the improved BP neural network model can effectively achieve the long-term wind speed prediction.
Keywords :
backpropagation; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; power engineering computing; prediction theory; wind power; BP artificial neural network; adaptive learning rate; power system operation; wind farm; wind power prediction; wind speed prediction; Adaptation model; Artificial neural networks; Biological system modeling; Data models; Predictive models; Wind forecasting; Wind speed; BP neural networks; wind farm; wind power generation; wind speed prediction;
Conference_Titel :
Electrical and Control Engineering (ICECE), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6880-5
DOI :
10.1109/iCECE.2010.630