Title :
Demand prediction of Heilongjiang professional health technicians: Based on gray dynamic model
Author :
Li Fang ; Yang Chao-jun ; Xu Jian-zhong ; Li Meng-lu
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Harbin Eng. Univ., Harbin, China
Abstract :
Professional Health Technicians are strategic resources of the development of health service, and the significant support of deepening the reform of pharmaceutical and healthcare systems in china. In view of the current situation of professional health technicians in Heilongjiang province, this paper first makes an analysis of major problems revealed in group of professional health technicians in Heilongjiang province, and then designs a Grey Dynamic Prediction Model according to Grey System Theory, and subsequently forecasts the demand of Heilongjiang professional health technicians from 2011 to 2020, and finally in accordance with forecasting results, proposes corresponding countermeasures for talents accumulation based on the notion of talent development-“Developing, Introducing, Retaining”, in order to shed some light on construction of Heilongjiang professional technicians.
Keywords :
grey systems; health care; human resource management; pharmaceuticals; China; Heilongjiang professional health technicians; demand prediction; grey dynamic prediction model; grey system theory; health service; healthcare systems; pharmaceutical systems; Data models; Educational institutions; Mathematical model; Pharmaceuticals; Predictive models; accumulation countermeasures; demand prediction; grey dynamic model; professional health technicians;
Conference_Titel :
Management Science and Engineering (ICMSE), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Dallas, TX
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-3015-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSE.2012.6414436