The Distribution Reliability Assessment Based on the Arithmetic of Simulating Reasoning

It mentions a new method of distribution reliability assessment based on Bayesian network timing simulation. It uses node model "causal" to change the gotten or lost duration of load points combined with the characteristics of Bayesian diagnostic reasoning and causal reasoning. it can simply effectively obtain the index of distribution system reliability and find out the weakest link of the power net; the value of the elements reliability are converged faster and enhance the index convergence rate by the method flag constringency mentioned as followed. The result of operation calculated realistically proves the method here mentioned is effectively.