• DocumentCode
    3027657
  • Title

    A less arbitrary method for inferring cause and effect

  • Author

    Allen, Allen D.

  • Author_Institution
    Algorithms Inc., Northridge, CA, USA
  • fYear
    1990
  • fDate
    4-7 Nov 1990
  • Firstpage
    140
  • Lastpage
    142
  • Abstract
    A method of inferring causality that is based on the concept of signal and noise and does not suffer from being arbitrary is presented. It has been used successfully to determine whether changes in the clinical status of patients with a chronic disease were due to random fluctuations or to the effects of an investigational treatment. The method is not arbitrary because probabilities are compared to the probability of the outcome that is most likely to occur at random (the most noisy outcome) and significance is determined by a unique inflection point on a particular curve
  • Keywords
    patient monitoring; probability; random processes; signal processing; statistics; causality; chronic disease; clinical status; investigational treatment; patient monitoring; probabilities; random fluctuations; random processes; signal processing; statistical inference; unique inflection point; Control system synthesis; Curing; Diseases; Equations; Fluctuations; Medical treatment; Performance evaluation; Probability; Testing;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 1990. Conference Proceedings., IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Los Angeles, CA
  • Print_ISBN
    0-87942-597-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICSMC.1990.142076
  • Filename
    142076