Title :
A New Approach to Improve the Overall Accuracy and the Filter Value Accuracy of the GM (1,1) New-Information and GM (1,1) Metabolic Models
Author :
Khuman, Arjab Singh ; Yingjie Yang ; John, Ranjith
Author_Institution :
Centre for Comput. Intell., De Montfort Univ., Leicester, UK
Abstract :
Grey system theory has many facets, one of which is the so-called GM(1,1) model, used for predicting and forecasting. This paper proposes a novel way of improving the overall relative accuracy of the new-information grey model, and the metabolic grey model, and also by improving the filter value accuracy. By incorporating a weight sequence that is populated by a genetic algorithm to minimize the error of the simulated values. The least square parameters (-a) and b, can then be scaled by the values contained in the weight sequence, until a satisfactory result is obtained. If a high level of accuracy can be attained for the simulation values of the model, and also for the filter value, it will ultimately allow for greater forecasting ability.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; grey systems; GM (1,1) metabolic model; GM (1,1) new-information model; error minimisation; filter value accuracy improvement; forecasting ability; genetic algorithm; grey system theory; metabolic grey model; new-information grey model; overall accuracy improvement; overall relative accuracy improvement; prediction; weight sequence; Accuracy; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Data models; Genetic algorithms; Predictive models; Sociology;
Conference_Titel :
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC), 2013 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Manchester
DOI :
10.1109/SMC.2013.222