MEDEX: a fuzzy system for forecasting Mediterranean gale force winds

Author

Hadjimichael, Michael ; Kuciauskas, Arunas P. ; Brody, L. Robin ; Bankert, Richard L. ; Tag, Paul M.

Author_Institution

Naval Res. Lab., Monterey, CA, USA

Volume

1

fYear

1996

fDate

8-11 Sep 1996

Firstpage

529

Abstract

This paper presents an implementation of a fuzzy rule-based system for predicting the onset and cessation of seven gale-force winds in the Mediterranean region. The rules were compiled by several meteorological experts, and implemented using a commercial software package. Significant issues included the specification of loosely defined variables, and the treatment of the system user´s uncertainty and inexperience. Preliminary results show predicted wind onset and cessation likelihoods consistent with the experts´ expectations and actual weather observations

Keywords

expert systems; fuzzy set theory; fuzzy systems; geophysics computing; storms; weather forecasting; wind; MEDEX; Mediterranean gale force winds; cessation likelihood; commercial software package; fuzzy rule-based system; geophysics computing; inexperience; meteorological experts; onset likelihood; software package; storm; uncertainty; weather forecasting; weather observations; Expert systems; Fuzzy systems; Hybrid intelligent systems; Knowledge based systems; Laboratories; Meteorology; Software packages; Uncertainty; Weather forecasting; Wind forecasting;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Fuzzy Systems, 1996., Proceedings of the Fifth IEEE International Conference on

Conference_Location

New Orleans, LA

Print_ISBN

0-7803-3645-3

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/FUZZY.1996.551796

Filename

551796