• DocumentCode
    3047016
  • Title

    Debris flow hazard assessment based on Monte Carlo simulation

  • Author

    Wang, Xuedong ; Li, Guangjie ; You, Bing

  • Author_Institution
    Coll. of Constr. Eng., Jilin Univ., Changchun, China
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    26-28 July 2011
  • Firstpage
    3912
  • Lastpage
    3915
  • Abstract
    This Screening several factors in debris flow hazard assessment is carried out based on the infinite irrelevance method, it eliminates some factors of overlap information too much. The ratios of importance between indices as given by experts are always an dot of ratios for construction of judgment matrix in analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Due to the drawback of AHP, a debris flow hazard assessment method based on Monte Carlo simulation as a stochastic one is therefore presented. The dot assignment can be extended to the interval assignment. Then, using the statistical method gives the results of debris flow hazard assessment, this method has more accuracy and generalization. Finally, the method is proved to be feasible and reliable by an actual example. And it provides a new method for weight determining on debris flow hazard assessment.
  • Keywords
    Monte Carlo methods; decision making; hazardous materials; Monte Carlo simulation; analytic hierarchy process; debris flow hazard assessment; dot assignment; infinite irrelevance method; interval assignment; judgment matrix; overlap information; statistical method; weight determining; Analytical models; Correlation; Geology; Hazards; Indexes; Monte Carlo methods; Numerical models; AHP; Debris flow; Monte Carlo simulation; hazard assessment; infinite irrelevance method;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Multimedia Technology (ICMT), 2011 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Hangzhou
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-61284-771-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMT.2011.6002921
  • Filename
    6002921