Early warning in online stock trading systems

In this paper, a new functionality of early warning for an online stock trading system is presented. The warning functionality helps to focus traders´ attention on specific situations on the stock market. The specific situations relate to the rare circumstances where a trader should be alerted by exceptional raises or drops of share prices, volatilities and market index changes. Usually, these alerts force a trader to make a decision either to buy or sell a share. To discover the warning rules and events, an evolution-based model is proposed. This model also introduces a new function that stores the experimental knowledge by keeping track of all historical alert events-solutions and actions taken by a trader. This model is composed of the three following components, which are integrated with each other: alert rules, pattern clustering and genetic engine. This approach has been tested on real data extracted from the Internet Bourse Expert System and Paris Stock Exchange.