DocumentCode
3064821
Title
Should Normal Distribution be Normal? The Student´s T Alternative
Author
Bartkowiak, Anna
Author_Institution
Univ. of Wroclaw, Wroclaw
fYear
2007
fDate
28-30 June 2007
Firstpage
3
Lastpage
8
Abstract
In the paper we try to answer, whether the Gaussian distribution - called widely the ´normal´ distribution - is really basic, natural and normal. In particular, we investigate how the above statement conforms with the distribution of real data, namely daily returns of some stock indexes. It was the authors former experience that, when looking at the distributions of real data, it was very difficult to find there a ´normal´, i.e. Gaussian distribution. The data, by their nature, are heterogeneous. If so, then the data should be modelled taking into account their possible heterogeneity. This can be done using mixture models - with mixtures composed from finite or infinite number of components. Students´ T (univariate or multivariate) is one prominent example of distributions which may be obtained as a mixture of infinitesimal number of Gaussian distributions. The considerations are illustrated by an example of application to financial time series, namely daily returns of the indexes WIG20 and S&P500. We show, why the normality (i.e. ´Gaussianity´) should be rejected and why the ´t´ distribution is plausible.
Keywords
Gaussian distribution; normal distribution; stock markets; Gaussian distribution; S&P500; WIG20; financial time series; mixture models; normal distribution; stock indexes; student T alternative; Computer industry; Computer science; Gaussian distribution; Gaussian processes; Least squares methods; Management information systems; Orbital calculations; Orbits; Probability distribution; Testing;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Computer Information Systems and Industrial Management Applications, 2007. CISIM '07. 6th International Conference on
Conference_Location
Minneapolis, MN
Print_ISBN
0-7695-2894-5
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CISIM.2007.59
Filename
4273487
Link To Document