• DocumentCode
    3064821
  • Title

    Should Normal Distribution be Normal? The Student´s T Alternative

  • Author

    Bartkowiak, Anna

  • Author_Institution
    Univ. of Wroclaw, Wroclaw
  • fYear
    2007
  • fDate
    28-30 June 2007
  • Firstpage
    3
  • Lastpage
    8
  • Abstract
    In the paper we try to answer, whether the Gaussian distribution - called widely the ´normal´ distribution - is really basic, natural and normal. In particular, we investigate how the above statement conforms with the distribution of real data, namely daily returns of some stock indexes. It was the authors former experience that, when looking at the distributions of real data, it was very difficult to find there a ´normal´, i.e. Gaussian distribution. The data, by their nature, are heterogeneous. If so, then the data should be modelled taking into account their possible heterogeneity. This can be done using mixture models - with mixtures composed from finite or infinite number of components. Students´ T (univariate or multivariate) is one prominent example of distributions which may be obtained as a mixture of infinitesimal number of Gaussian distributions. The considerations are illustrated by an example of application to financial time series, namely daily returns of the indexes WIG20 and S&P500. We show, why the normality (i.e. ´Gaussianity´) should be rejected and why the ´t´ distribution is plausible.
  • Keywords
    Gaussian distribution; normal distribution; stock markets; Gaussian distribution; S&P500; WIG20; financial time series; mixture models; normal distribution; stock indexes; student T alternative; Computer industry; Computer science; Gaussian distribution; Gaussian processes; Least squares methods; Management information systems; Orbital calculations; Orbits; Probability distribution; Testing;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computer Information Systems and Industrial Management Applications, 2007. CISIM '07. 6th International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Minneapolis, MN
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7695-2894-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/CISIM.2007.59
  • Filename
    4273487