The Quantitative Evaluation on the Direct Economic Loss Induced by Tropical Cyclones

Author

Chen, Yunfeng ; Gao, Ge

Author_Institution

Nanjing Univ. of Inf. Sci. & Technol., Nanjing, China

Volume

4

fYear

2010

fDate

4-6 June 2010

Firstpage

133

Lastpage

136

Abstract

The evaluation model of the direct economic loss induced by tropical cyclones make landfall over China is discussed. With the observations of tropical cyclones and the socio-economic statistical data during the period from 2004 to 2008, three elements-- the disaster causes, the bearing capacity and the prevention capacity are taken into account to the model which is used by multiple regression methods. The results show that (1) it is reasonable to use those three predictors to build the assessment model, (2) the obtained model can provide a good forecast of the direct economic loss, and (3) this model has a potential value in operation.

Keywords

disasters; meteorology; regression analysis; socio-economic effects; bearing capacity element; direct economic loss; disaster cause element; multiple regression methods; prevention capacity element; quantitative evaluation; socio-economic statistical data; tropical cyclones; Economic forecasting; Floods; Information science; Meteorology; Power generation economics; Predictive models; Terrain factors; Tornadoes; Tropical cyclones; Wind forecasting; Tropical cyclones; evaluation and forecasting model; multiple regression; the direct economic loss;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Information and Computing (ICIC), 2010 Third International Conference on

Conference_Location

Wuxi, Jiang Su

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-7081-5

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-7082-2

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ICIC.2010.304

Filename

5514036