DocumentCode
3076381
Title
Decision making theory with imprecise probabilities
Author
Rafik, A.A.
Author_Institution
Dept. of Comput.-Aided Control Syst., Azerbaijan State Oil Acad., Baku, Azerbaijan
fYear
2009
fDate
2-4 Sept. 2009
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
1
Abstract
Summary form only given. There is an extensive literature on decision-making under uncertainty. Unfortunately, up to day there are no valid decision principles. The widely used principle of maximization of expected utility has serious shortcomings. The first approach in classical theory of choice was formulated axiomatically in the expected utility theory of von Neumann and Morgenstern and is the predominant economic theory for decision making under uncertainty. In another, more advanced approach of Savage subjective expected utility it is assumed that peoples assess the state of the economy and the effects of their behavior in a forward-looking way by processing available information according to standard statistical principles. We present a characterization theorem on existence of a fuzzy utility function representing weak order relation defined over the set of fuzzy alternatives. We also develop an effective decision theory with imprecise probabilities when the environment of fuzzy events, fuzzy states, fuzzy relations, and fuzzy constraints are characterized by imprecise probabilities.
Keywords
decision making; fuzzy set theory; optimisation; probability; statistical analysis; utility theory; decision making theory; decision principles; decision theory; economic theory; expected utility theory; fuzzy alternatives; fuzzy constraints; fuzzy events; fuzzy relations; fuzzy states; fuzzy utility function; imprecise probability; maximization; standard statistical principles; weak order relation; Control systems; Decision making; Economics; Fuzzy logic; Fuzzy sets; Humans; Natural languages; Petroleum; Uncertainty; Utility theory;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Soft Computing, Computing with Words and Perceptions in System Analysis, Decision and Control, 2009. ICSCCW 2009. Fifth International Conference on
Conference_Location
Famagusta
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-3429-9
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-3428-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICSCCW.2009.5379425
Filename
5379425
Link To Document