Title :
Forecasting and classification of Indian stocks using different polynomial functional link artificial neural networks
Author :
Bebarta, Dwiti Krishna ; Biswal, Biswajit ; Rout, Ajit Kumar ; Dash, P.K.
Author_Institution :
Comput. Sci. & Eng., GMR Inst. of Technol., Rajam, India
Abstract :
Forecasting stock price index is one of the major challenges in the trade market for investors. Time series data for prediction are difficult to manipulate, but can be focused as segments to discover interesting patterns. In this paper we use several functional link artificial neural networks to get such patterns for predicting stock indices. The novel architecture of functional link artificial neural network with working principle of different models are provided to achieve best forecasting and classification with increase in accuracy of prediction and decrease in training time. Various FLANN models with different polynomials are investigated using different Indian stock indices like IBM, BSE, Oracle, & RIL. The main absolute percentage error (MAPE), sum squared error (SSE) and the standard deviation error (SDE) have been considered to measure the performance of the different FLANN models. In this paper we have presented the result using Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) stock data between 22/12/1999 to 30/12/2011 on closed price of every trading day.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; pattern classification; polynomials; stock markets; time series; BSE; FLANN model; IBM; Indian stock index classification; Indian stock index forecasting; MAPE; Oracle; RIL; RIL stock data; Reliance Industries Limited stock data; SDE; SSE; closed price; functional link artificial neural network architecture; main absolute percentage error; polynomials; prediction accuracy; standard deviation error; stock price index forecasting; sum squared error; time series data; trade market; training time; working principle; Artificial neural networks; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Data models; Forecasting; Polynomials; Predictive models; Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE); Artificial Neural Network (ANN); Chebyshev Functional Link ANN (CFLANN); Functional Link ANN (FLANN); Laguerre Functional Link ANN (LFLANN); Legendre Functional Link ANN (LeFLANN); Power Functional Link ANN (PFLANN); Standard Deviation of Error (SDE); Sum of Squared Error (SSE);
Conference_Titel :
India Conference (INDICON), 2012 Annual IEEE
Conference_Location :
Kochi
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2270-6
DOI :
10.1109/INDCON.2012.6420611