Title :
A new method to forecast enrollments using fuzzy time series and clustering techniques
Author :
Tanuwijaya, Kurniawan ; Chen, Shyi-Ming
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput. Sci. & Inf. Eng., Nat. Taiwan Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Taipei, Taiwan
Abstract :
This paper presents a new method to forecast enrollments using fuzzy time series and clustering techniques. First, we present an automatic clustering algorithm to partition the universe of discourse into different lengths of intervals. Then, we present a new method for forecasting enrollments using fuzzy time series and the proposed clustering algorithm. The historical data of the University of Alabama are used to illustrate the forecasting process of the proposed method. The experimental results show that the proposed method gets a higher average forecasting accuracy rate than the existing methods.
Keywords :
education; fuzzy set theory; pattern clustering; time series; automatic clustering algorithm; forecast enrollment; fuzzy time series; historical data; Clustering algorithms; Computer science; Cybernetics; Fuzzy logic; Fuzzy set theory; Fuzzy sets; Machine learning; Partitioning algorithms; Predictive models; Technology forecasting; Fuzzy clustering; Fuzzy forecasting; Fuzzy time-series;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2009 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Baoding
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3702-3
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3703-0
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2009.5212604