Title :
A Neural Network Based Short Term Electric Load Forecasting in Ontario Canada
Author :
Liu, Fang ; Findlay, Raymond D. ; Song, Qiang
Author_Institution :
McMaster Univ., Hamilton, ON
fDate :
Nov. 28 2006-Dec. 1 2006
Abstract :
Accurate and reliable load forecasting is necessary to ameliorate energy management. Short-term load forecast plays a crucial role in economic and secure system operation. This paper presents a practical method for short-term electric load forecast problem using an artificial neural network with a powerful Levenberg-Marquardt training algorithm approach. The applications of real load from Ontario, Canada with hourly load, daily load, and weekly load predictions have been successfully achieved. Both visual comparison and statistical test are discussed and analyzed to validate training and testing phases of the neural network.
Keywords :
economics; energy management systems; load forecasting; neural nets; Levenberg-Marquardt training; economic; electric load forecasting; energy management; neural network; secure system; statistical test; visual comparison; Artificial neural networks; Computational intelligence; Economic forecasting; Fuel economy; Intelligent networks; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Power generation economics; Predictive models; Testing;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence for Modelling, Control and Automation, 2006 and International Conference on Intelligent Agents, Web Technologies and Internet Commerce, International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Sydney, NSW
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-2731-0
DOI :
10.1109/CIMCA.2006.17