• DocumentCode
    3114196
  • Title

    Decision-making with interval probabilities

  • Author

    Guo, Peijun ; Tanaka, Hideo

  • Author_Institution
    Fac. of Bus. Adm., Yokohama Nat. Univ., Yokohama
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    12-15 Oct. 2008
  • Firstpage
    1743
  • Lastpage
    1747
  • Abstract
    In recent years, dealing with uncertainty using interval probabilities is receiving considerable attention by researchers. Most of researches related to interval probabilities, such as combination, marginalization, condition, Bayesian inferences, assume interval probabilities are known. How to elicit interval probabilities from subject is a basic problem for the applications of interval probability theory and till now a computational challenge. In this research, the approaches for estimating interval probabilities are proposed with the pair-wise comparison of the possible outcomes to know which one is more likely to occur. The first method is LP-based one. The second method is QP-based one. Interval expectation, interval entropy are investigated. The decision criteria under interval probabilities are given.
  • Keywords
    Bayes methods; decision making; decision theory; entropy; linear programming; probability; quadratic programming; AHP; Bayesian inference; decision making; interval entropy; interval probability theory; linear programming method; quadratic programming method; Bayesian methods; Decision making; Entropy; Linear programming; Mathematical programming; Psychology; Quadratic programming; Uncertainty; Upper bound; AHP; decision analysis; interval probabilities; linear programming problem; quadratic programming problem;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2008. SMC 2008. IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Singapore
  • ISSN
    1062-922X
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2383-5
  • Electronic_ISBN
    1062-922X
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICSMC.2008.4811540
  • Filename
    4811540