DocumentCode
3114196
Title
Decision-making with interval probabilities
Author
Guo, Peijun ; Tanaka, Hideo
Author_Institution
Fac. of Bus. Adm., Yokohama Nat. Univ., Yokohama
fYear
2008
fDate
12-15 Oct. 2008
Firstpage
1743
Lastpage
1747
Abstract
In recent years, dealing with uncertainty using interval probabilities is receiving considerable attention by researchers. Most of researches related to interval probabilities, such as combination, marginalization, condition, Bayesian inferences, assume interval probabilities are known. How to elicit interval probabilities from subject is a basic problem for the applications of interval probability theory and till now a computational challenge. In this research, the approaches for estimating interval probabilities are proposed with the pair-wise comparison of the possible outcomes to know which one is more likely to occur. The first method is LP-based one. The second method is QP-based one. Interval expectation, interval entropy are investigated. The decision criteria under interval probabilities are given.
Keywords
Bayes methods; decision making; decision theory; entropy; linear programming; probability; quadratic programming; AHP; Bayesian inference; decision making; interval entropy; interval probability theory; linear programming method; quadratic programming method; Bayesian methods; Decision making; Entropy; Linear programming; Mathematical programming; Psychology; Quadratic programming; Uncertainty; Upper bound; AHP; decision analysis; interval probabilities; linear programming problem; quadratic programming problem;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2008. SMC 2008. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Singapore
ISSN
1062-922X
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-2383-5
Electronic_ISBN
1062-922X
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICSMC.2008.4811540
Filename
4811540
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