Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Coastal Engineering Planning: A Case Study of Xiamen Bay, P. R. China

Coastal engineering planning (CEP) must deal with routine and non-routine hazardous conditions, particularly from cumulative hazards or from events with low probability but large consequences. We develop and exemplify a risk-based assessment to support coastal engineering planning, which is consistent with the precautionary principle, and provides scientific support for decision-making processes. Our approach, based on probabilistic risk assessment, PRA, methods, assesses the probable viability of nine engineering projects considered around Xiamen Bay, a major coastal city in Fujian province, PRC. We focus on these projects to exemplify the method and its results, and base our conclusions on the minimization of the hazardous conditions in Xiamen Bay.