Title :
Forecasting of wind speed with least squares support vector machine based on genetic algorithm
Author :
Ran, Li ; Yong-qin, Ke ; Xiao-qian, Zhang
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Electr. Eng., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding, China
Abstract :
Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is very important to improve the security and stability of power grid and to reduce the running cost. In this paper, a method based on Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) was proposed to the short-term forecasting. In order to avoid the blindness and inaccuracy of Parameter selection, Genetic algorithm is used to select the optimal regularization parameter C and kernel parameter δ of the LS-SVM. Through the actual numerical example, the method effectively improved the prediction of the reliability and accuracy.
Keywords :
genetic algorithms; least squares approximations; load forecasting; power engineering computing; power grids; power system reliability; power system security; power system stability; support vector machines; wind power; genetic algorithm; kernel parameter; least squares support vector machine; optimal regularization parameter; parameter selection; power grid security; power grid stability; reliability; wind speed forecasting; Forecasting; Genetic algorithms; Kernel; Predictive models; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation; Wind speed; LS-SVM; genetic algorithm; wind speed forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Consumer Electronics, Communications and Networks (CECNet), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
XianNing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-458-9
DOI :
10.1109/CECNET.2011.5768746