High-level scenarios for the future of cognitive radio business

This paper aims to provide a systematic analysis and formal presentation of high-level scenarios for the future development of Cognitive Radio business ecosystem. It uses the Intuitive Logics as a methodology for constructing four equally probable scenarios in a matrix at the intersection of two identified major uncertainties. The paper shows the importance of using high-level scenarios as a guiding framework for understanding the causal-consequential relationships and actions of different stakeholders that may help in building the strategies for responding and further facilitating the development of Cognitive Radio.