DocumentCode :
3169598
Title :
Market index prediction using fuzzy Boolean nets
Author :
Tomé, José A B ; Carvalho, João Paulo
Author_Institution :
INESC-ID, Lisboa, Portugal
fYear :
2005
fDate :
6-9 Nov. 2005
Abstract :
A wide range of applications can be identified for time series prediction, including energy systems planning, currency forecasting, or traffic prediction. Specifically, stock exchange operations can greatly benefit from efficient forecast techniques. Therefore, a number of different prediction approaches have been proposed such as linear models, feedforward neural network models, recurrent neural networks or fuzzy neural models. In this paper one presents a prediction model based on fuzzy rules that relate past data values with the next unknown value to be estimated. A fuzzy Boolean neural network has been used for this purpose, which has been applied to the Nasdaq index prediction. The results turned to be encouraging, namely on the percentage of correct up/down trend prediction.
Keywords :
Boolean algebra; economic indicators; forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; neural nets; stock markets; Nasdaq index prediction; forecast techniques; fuzzy Boolean neural network; fuzzy rules; market index prediction; stock exchange; time series prediction; trend prediction; Economic forecasting; Feedforward neural networks; Fuzzy neural networks; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Predictive models; Recurrent neural networks; Stock markets; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Hybrid Intelligent Systems, 2005. HIS '05. Fifth International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-2457-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICHIS.2005.71
Filename :
1587792
Link To Document :
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