Empirical evaluation of a data mining method for success chance estimation of university curricula

The paper deals with modeling, processing, evaluating and refining processes with humans involved like (not only, but also e-) learning. A formerly developed concept called storyboarding has been applied at a university to model the various ways to study at this university. Along with this storyboard, we developed a data mining technology to estimate success chances of curricula. Here, we introduce a validation method for this technology and its results. Further, we discuss chances to improve these results by implementing a formerly introduced learner profiling concept that represents the students´ individual properties, talents and preferences for personalized data mining.