DocumentCode :
3211215
Title :
A self-adaptive model for wind power prediction
Author :
Yanfeng Ge ; Peng Liang ; Liqun Gao ; Junchang Zhai
Author_Institution :
Liaoning Electr. Power Co. Ltd., Shenyang, China
fYear :
2015
fDate :
23-25 May 2015
Firstpage :
1165
Lastpage :
1169
Abstract :
This paper proposes a new approach for wind power forecasting based on sliding window weighted recursive least squares for the defect of wind power prediction in the traditional prediction method. In this method, the historical data is weighted and the perturbation caused by the historical data is ruled out, which focuses on the current data on the result of prediction. This make the model has the adaptability to the change of the environment data. Final, the simulation is carried out for the real historical data from a wind farm in Liaoning. The simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Keywords :
least squares approximations; load forecasting; recursive estimation; wind power plants; Liaoning; self-adaptive model; sliding window weighted recursive least squares; wind farm; wind power forecasting; wind power prediction; Autoregressive processes; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Wind farms; Wind power generation; Wind speed; power prediction model; sliding window; the least square method; wind power;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Control and Decision Conference (CCDC), 2015 27th Chinese
Conference_Location :
Qingdao
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-7016-2
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/CCDC.2015.7162093
Filename :
7162093
Link To Document :
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