Title :
A learning curve approach to projecting cost and performance in thin film photovoltaics
Author :
Cody, George ; Tiedje, Thoma
Author_Institution :
Exxon Res. & Eng. Co., Annandale, NJ, USA
Abstract :
The current cost of electricity generated by PV power is still extremely high with respect to utility power and there remain questions as to whether PV power can ever be competitive with electricity generated by fossil fuels. A previous paper by the authors supplied an objective framework for considering this important question and introduced analytical tools to define and project the technical/economic status of PV power through the year 2010. In this paper, we update this previous work in the context of the announcements by Amoco/Enron Solar of projected sales of PV power in 1997 at rates considerably less than the US average
Keywords :
costing; economics; photovoltaic power systems; Amoco/Enron Solar; PV power; cost projection; electricity generation; learning curve approach; performance projection; projected sales; thin film photovoltaics; Agriculture; Cost function; Fossil fuels; Manufacturing; Marketing and sales; Photovoltaic cells; Power generation; Power system economics; Silicon; Transistors;
Conference_Titel :
Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, 1996., Conference Record of the Twenty Fifth IEEE
Conference_Location :
Washington, DC
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-3166-4
DOI :
10.1109/PVSC.1996.564426
