Title :
Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on Wavelet Network Model Combined with PSO
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Electr. & Inf. Eng., Changsha Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Changsha
Abstract :
The real time adaptive control of urban traffic, as a complex large system, usually needs to know the traffic of every intersection in advance. So traffic flow forecasting is a key problem in the real time adaptive control of urban traffic. This paper proposed an improved wavelet network model (WNM) which combined with particle swarm optimization (PSO) to forecast urban short-term traffic flow, PSO algorithm is used to determine the weights and parameters of WNM, which can avoid encountering the curse of dimensionality and overcome the shortage in the responding speed and learning ability brought about by the traditional models. The simulation results show that the average time cost of the proposed method in the flow forecasting process is reduced by 8s, and the precision of the proposed method is increased by 4.23% compared to the standard WNM model.
Keywords :
adaptive control; large-scale systems; particle swarm optimisation; road traffic; wavelet transforms; PSO; complex large system; particle swarm optimization; real time adaptive control; urban short-term traffic flow forecasting; wavelet network model; Adaptive control; Communication system traffic control; Continuous wavelet transforms; Discrete wavelet transforms; Intelligent transportation systems; Predictive models; Real time systems; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control; Weather forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Computation Technology and Automation (ICICTA), 2008 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hunan
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3357-5
DOI :
10.1109/ICICTA.2008.74