DocumentCode :
3242208
Title :
Type-2 Fuzzy SARIMA system for real-valued uncertain non-stationary data-intensive seasonal time series
Author :
Yuying Wang ; John, Ranjith
Author_Institution :
Centre for Comput. Intell., De Montfort Univ., Leicester, UK
fYear :
2013
fDate :
16-19 April 2013
Firstpage :
31
Lastpage :
38
Abstract :
Following the concepts of Mpdf and J̃-plane, in this paper, the authors propose a new Type-2 Fuzzy Probabilistic System - Type-2 Fuzzy SARIMA System for real-valued uncertain non-stationary data-intensive seasonal time series forecasting. The system is implemented in Wireless Soft-Switch (WSS) communication network CAPS forecasting and is compared with the statistical model SARIMA to show that Type-2 Fuzzy SARIMA System can forecast real-valued uncertain non-stationary data-intensive seasonal time series more accurately, timely, along with the infinite maximum supported seasonality and less errors. As the series of algorithms and results prove, Type-2 Fuzzy Probabilistic System is viable in practice, which realises Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems evolving from rule-based fuzzy systems to the systems based on Type-2 Fuzzy Probabilistic Model.
Keywords :
fuzzy logic; fuzzy set theory; fuzzy systems; knowledge based systems; probability; time series; type theory; CAPS forecasting; WSS communication network; infinite maximum supported seasonality; real valued uncertain nonstationary data intensive seasonal time series forecasting; rule based fuzzy systems; statistical model SARIMA; type-2 fuzzy SARIMA system; type-2 fuzzy logic systems; type-2 fuzzy probabilistic model; type-2 fuzzy probabilistic system; wireless soft switch communication network; Forecasting; Fuzzy logic; Fuzzy sets; Probabilistic logic; Probability distribution; Time series analysis; SARIMA; Type-2 fuzzy events; Type-2 fuzzy probabilistic system; real-valued random quantities; type-2 fuzzy probabilistic model; type-2 fuzzy sets;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Advances in Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems (T2FUZZ), 2013 IEEE Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Singapore
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/T2FZZ.2013.6613296
Filename :
6613296
Link To Document :
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