Title :
Next day peak load forecasting using an artificial neural network
Author_Institution :
Central Res. Inst. of Electr. Power Ind., Tokyo, Japan
Abstract :
This paper presents a method of next day peak load forecasting using an artificial neural network (ANN). The author combines the DSC search method (Davis, Swann, Campey search method) with the backpropagation learning algorithm (Bp) to reduce the training times and avoid converging at local minima as much as possible. The forecasting results by ANN is as good as human experts results and is better than the forecasting results by the regression model. The training times by the author´s approach are less than that by the pure backpropagation in some cases.
Keywords :
backpropagation; load forecasting; neural nets; DSC search method; Davis-Swann-Campey search method; artificial neural network; backpropagation learning; next day peak load forecasting; training times; Artificial neural networks; Economic forecasting; Fuel economy; Humans; Load forecasting; Neurons; Power generation economics; Predictive models; Search methods; Weather forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Neural Networks, 1993. IJCNN '93-Nagoya. Proceedings of 1993 International Joint Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-1421-2
DOI :
10.1109/IJCNN.1993.717057