Title :
Integrating a Piecewise Linear Representation Method with Dynamic Time Warping System for Stock Trading Decision Making
Author :
Chang, Pei-Chann ; Fan, Chin-Yuan ; Lin, Jun-Lin ; Lin, Jyun-Jie
Author_Institution :
Dept. ofInformation Manage., YuanZe Univ., Taoyuan
Abstract :
Stock turning points detection is a very interesting subject arising in numerous financial and economic planning problems. In this paper, a piecewise linear representation method with dynamics time warping system for stock turning points detection is presented. The piecewise linear representation method is able to generate numerous stocks turning points from the historic data base, then the dynamic time warping system will be applied to retrieve similar stock price patterns from historic data for training the system. These turning points represent short-term trading signals for selling or buying stocks from the market. A Back-Propagation neural network (B.P.N) is further applied to learn the connection weights from these historic turning points and afterwards it is applied to forecast the future turning points from the set of test data. Experimental results demonstrate that the system integrating PLR and neural networks can make a significant amount of profit when compared with other approaches using stock data.
Keywords :
backpropagation; decision making; neural nets; piecewise linear techniques; stock markets; time warp simulation; back-propagation neural network; dynamic time warping system; piecewise linear representation; stock price patterns; stock trading decision making; stock turning points detection; Artificial neural networks; Decision making; Economic forecasting; Genetic programming; Information retrieval; Neural networks; Piecewise linear techniques; Stock markets; Testing; Turning; Back-Propagation neural network; Dynamics Time Warping system; PLR method; Stock turning points;
Conference_Titel :
Natural Computation, 2008. ICNC '08. Fourth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Jinan
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3304-9
DOI :
10.1109/ICNC.2008.3