Title :
Forecasting in a complex environment using feature manipulating technique added in traditional forecasting system
Author :
Yu, Song Jin ; Lee, Jang Hee ; Park, Sang Chan
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. Eng., Korea Adv. Inst. of Sci. & Technol., Taejon, South Korea
Abstract :
Most forecasting systems are composed of two modules: a preprocessing module; and a learning module. In the preprocessing module, basic operations such as the removal of noise or outliners are performed. In the learning module, the knowledge contained in training data is obtained. Many forecasting systems are applicable in a simple or simplified environment and work well, yet have weak points when applied in a complex environment. That results from the characteristics of the features of training data are changed in response to training data; i.e. corresponding to the patterns of data the degrees of the influences of the features, which are subset of attributes or weighted sum of attributes, are changed. Here, the authors present a more advanced forecasting system for application in a complex environment
Keywords :
forecasting theory; learning (artificial intelligence); management; operations research; self-organising feature maps; complex environment; feature manipulating technique; forecasting systems; learning module; preprocessing module; training data; Connectors; Costs; Feature extraction; Industrial engineering; Manufacturing processes; Neural networks; Statistical analysis; Technology forecasting; Training data; Working environment noise;
Conference_Titel :
Engineering and Technology Management, 1998. Pioneering New Technologies: Management Issues and Challenges in the Third Millennium. IEMC '98 Proceedings. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
San Juan, PR
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-5082-0
DOI :
10.1109/IEMC.1998.727775