Scenario Analysis for Local Area Life Expectancy Using Conditional Independence Maps

The challenge of sustainable healthcare requires significant changes to the structure of healthcare delivery, with greater emphasis on prevention and pro-active, personalised care. This, in turn, relies for its effectiveness on detailed analysis of the evidence contained in large data bases. This paper describes a powerful and general analytical approach to derive insights from complex health and behavioural data, and to underpin evidence-based scenario analysis for commissioning of clinically efficient and cost effective health interventions.