• DocumentCode
    3310291
  • Title

    An intelligent trend prediction and reversal recognition system using dual-module neural networks

  • Author

    Jang, Gia-Shuh ; Lai, Feipei ; Jiang, Bor-Wei ; Chien, Li-Hua

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Electr. Eng., Nat. Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan
  • fYear
    1991
  • fDate
    9-11 Oct 1991
  • Firstpage
    42
  • Lastpage
    51
  • Abstract
    Short-term trends of price movement for common stocks traded on the Taiwan stock market have been modelled and predicted using the dual-module neural networks (dual net) proposed. Both neural network modules of the dual net learn the correlations between the trends of price movement and the retrospective technical indices. An adaptive reversal recognition mechanism which can self-tune the threshold to identify the buying or selling signals is developed in the system. Due to the features of acceptable returns, high hit ratio and low risks shown in the performance evaluation, an intelligent stock trend prediction and reversal recognition system can be realized using the dual-module neural networks
  • Keywords
    feedforward neural nets; forecasting theory; pattern recognition; stock markets; Taiwan stock market; adaptive reversal recognition mechanism; common stocks; dual net; dual-module neural networks; intelligent stock trend prediction; neural network modules; price movement; retrospective technical indices; self-tune; selling signals; Adaptive control; Computer networks; Concurrent computing; Economic forecasting; Fluctuations; Intelligent networks; Neural networks; Predictive models; Stock markets; Timing;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Artificial Intelligence Applications on Wall Street, 1991. Proceedings., First International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    New York, NY
  • Print_ISBN
    0-8186-2240-7
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/AIAWS.1991.236575
  • Filename
    236575