DocumentCode
3310291
Title
An intelligent trend prediction and reversal recognition system using dual-module neural networks
Author
Jang, Gia-Shuh ; Lai, Feipei ; Jiang, Bor-Wei ; Chien, Li-Hua
Author_Institution
Dept. of Electr. Eng., Nat. Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan
fYear
1991
fDate
9-11 Oct 1991
Firstpage
42
Lastpage
51
Abstract
Short-term trends of price movement for common stocks traded on the Taiwan stock market have been modelled and predicted using the dual-module neural networks (dual net) proposed. Both neural network modules of the dual net learn the correlations between the trends of price movement and the retrospective technical indices. An adaptive reversal recognition mechanism which can self-tune the threshold to identify the buying or selling signals is developed in the system. Due to the features of acceptable returns, high hit ratio and low risks shown in the performance evaluation, an intelligent stock trend prediction and reversal recognition system can be realized using the dual-module neural networks
Keywords
feedforward neural nets; forecasting theory; pattern recognition; stock markets; Taiwan stock market; adaptive reversal recognition mechanism; common stocks; dual net; dual-module neural networks; intelligent stock trend prediction; neural network modules; price movement; retrospective technical indices; self-tune; selling signals; Adaptive control; Computer networks; Concurrent computing; Economic forecasting; Fluctuations; Intelligent networks; Neural networks; Predictive models; Stock markets; Timing;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Artificial Intelligence Applications on Wall Street, 1991. Proceedings., First International Conference on
Conference_Location
New York, NY
Print_ISBN
0-8186-2240-7
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/AIAWS.1991.236575
Filename
236575
Link To Document