• DocumentCode
    3310337
  • Title

    Using neural nets to predict several sequential and subsequent future values from time series data

  • Author

    Bowen, James E.

  • Author_Institution
    CompEngServ Ltd., Ottawa, Ont., Canada
  • fYear
    1991
  • fDate
    9-11 Oct 1991
  • Firstpage
    30
  • Lastpage
    34
  • Abstract
    Analysing time series data in order to recognize patterns or make predictions about future values is important in many application areas, for example, failure prediction in nuclear power plants and machinery, the stock market, inventory control, marketing sales forecasts, bankruptcy prediction, forest fire predictions, etc. Solutions to many of these problems exist in nonlinear mathematics, which three layer feedforward neural nets can model. The author reports the interim results of an experimental project using a neural net approach to predict future values using time series data. Four neutral nets were constructed which predict one day in advance, based upon different sample intervals and access to economic data. Four more neural nets were constructed to predict four time periods in advance. The tests revealed that the neural net trained to sample every five days without an economic data input, outperforms the other nets
  • Keywords
    feedforward neural nets; forecasting theory; stock markets; time series; application areas; bankruptcy prediction; economic data; experimental project; failure prediction; forest fire predictions; future values; interim results; inventory control; marketing sales forecasts; neural net approach; nonlinear mathematics; nuclear power plants; predictions; sample intervals; stock market; three layer feedforward neural nets; time series data; Data analysis; Economic forecasting; Failure analysis; Machinery; Neural networks; Pattern analysis; Pattern recognition; Power generation; Power generation economics; Time series analysis;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Artificial Intelligence Applications on Wall Street, 1991. Proceedings., First International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    New York, NY
  • Print_ISBN
    0-8186-2240-7
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/AIAWS.1991.236577
  • Filename
    236577